🏛️ The government will stay open

🤷🏽 But US debt is about to hit $35 Trillion

I wrote up my five favorite investing ideas in Mexico after spending three weeks there. If you like money, have a look.

The top 5 stocks for 2024 (from investing legend Louis Navellier)

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📰 Market Headlines

*past 24-hour performance

  • Fed Chair Powell emphasized caution on interest rate cuts, signaling a careful approach despite market anticipation.

    • Powell told Congress the Fed focused on data and inflation trends before considering rate reductions, hinting at potential cuts "sometime this year".

    • “We think because of the strength in the economy and the strength in the labor market and the progress we’ve made, we can approach [moving on rates] carefully and thoughtfully and with greater confidence," said Powell.

    • The market reacted positively, with the Dow up more than 250 points as Powell's comments reassured investors.

  • The US House passed a bipartisan spending bill to prevent a government shutdown.

  • Nikki Haley withdrew from the Republican presidential race, urging Donald Trump to earn the support of her backers.

🕶️ Market Vibes

🎰 Market Forecasts and Futures

Forecasts via Kalshi, the prediction market.

😱 Fear and Greed Index

🧠 What do you think?

Ross Stores issued a double beat yesterday (see below). I honestly didn’t know they were still around.

🎤 What you said last time

📈 Trends you need to know

Interest in airline miles declined steadily from 2004 to Covid when points fell off a cliff. As travel comes back, so does miles use — perhaps there’s a lot in the bank.

📊 Stocks

Want to invest like Buffet? With Public.com, you can emulate Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio with just a few clicks.

Winners and losers

Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions

  • Foot Locker plunged over 30% despite a 2% increase in Q4 revenue to $2.38 billion.

  • Abercrombie & Fitch announced a jump in holiday-quarter sales to $1.45 billion, up nearly 21% from last year; shares down 4%

  • JD.com shares soared 16.2% alongside a 4% rise in revenue to $42.5 billion. JD also announced a $3 billion stock buyback.

  • Thor Industries missed second-quarter profit estimates leading to a 13.9% tumble in shares.

  • United Natural Foods missed revenue expectations by 1.8% and dropped 18%

  • Campbell Soup Company reported revenue of $2.5 billion; shares were steady.

Market movers

  • Estee Lauder shares dropped 2% after cancer-causing benzene was discovered in Clinique, Clearasil, and other acne treatments.

  • The SEC's new climate disclosure rule requires U.S. companies to report greenhouse gas emissions.

  • NYCB secured a $1 billion lifeline from Mnuchin's firm.

  • MicroStrategy shares surged over 8% on plans to raise over $680M to purchase bitcoins.

  • Amazon's Alexa initiated plans to move away from Android to reduce operation costs.

  • Microsoft's AI push with Copilot raises questions among staffers as it reallocates priorities and creates internal tension.

Ideas, trends, and analysis

  • Grain market watchers suspect a potential rally in wheat, corn, and soybeans.

  • India's economic surge has attracted record ETF inflows.

  • CEO optimism suggests a robust U.S. economy, with plans for increased sales and capital investments.

  • Insider selling spikes in AI sector as Nvidia and others see stock prices soar.

  • Several comeback stocks, ready to rebound from recent setbacks.

  • Stocks built for a long-term relationship with your portfolio.

🌍 Global Perspectives

  • 🇺🇦🇬🇷 A Russian missile narrowly missed Ukrainian President Zelensky and Greek PM Mitsotakis in Odesa, killing five.

  • 🇬🇧 UK's latest budget announcement projected modest economic growth and introduced tax cuts.

  • 🇸🇩 Sudan faces the world's largest hunger crisis, affecting over 25 million.

  • 🇵🇸🇿🇦 A Gaza ceasefire appears possible, with South Africa requesting World Court intervention.

  • 🇹🇩 Chad teeters on the edge of regional destabilization after Mahamat Deby's election bid and the killing of Yayo Dillo.

  • 🇮🇳 Indian men claim they were tricked into fighting for Russia in Ukraine.

  • 🇳🇬 Suspected Islamist militants conducted the largest mass abductions in northeastern Nigeria since 2014.

📊 Income

📊 Crypto

  • Bitcoin actually failed to top its all-time high, when adjusted for inflation. [Ed: this guy is probably super fun at parties]

  • Crypto stocks rebound following Bitcoin's recovery.

  • Is 100k the next ceiling?

  • CFTC Chair Behnam calls for urgent crypto regulation under the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act.

  • The Middle East positions itself as a future crypto hub.

🧠 Errata

  • A quarter of Americans consider state secession. Alaska wants out the most.

  • This hotel targets insomniacs, offering a guaranteed night's sleep for $1,780.

  • Scientists edge closer to bringing woolly mammoths back from extinction.

  • The new federal budget reveals $12 billion in earmarks, funding everything from parades to kayaking facilities.

  • Watch out for a side of lead poisoning with your cinnamon.

📺 What to Watch Today

That’s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,

Wyatt