๐Ÿ’ณ A Capital Idea

๐Ÿƒ Plus, Russia's playing silly games

Iโ€™m coming at ya from Jalisco, Mexico this week, so your S&I issues may be with you slightly later than usual.

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๐Ÿ“ฐ Market Headlines

*past 24-hour performance

  • U.S. Markets were closed yesterday for Presidents Day. Equity futures were stable as investors balanced strong economic data against inflation fears and the week ahead. All three major indices snapped five-week winning streaks last week.

  • The week is stacked with big earnings reports, spearheaded by Nvidia on Wednesday.

  • Capitol One acquired Discover for $35.3 billion. The merger is expected to close by 2025 with Discover remaining a distinct brand.

  • Oil prices held firm, near their three-week high buoyed by Middle East tensions and China's rebounding demand.

  • Putin critic Alexei Navalny died in an Arctic prison last Friday.

๐Ÿ•ถ๏ธ Market Vibes

๐ŸŽฐ Market Forecasts and Futures

๐Ÿ˜ฑ Fear and Greed Index

๐Ÿง  What do you think?

One analyst at Citi thinks gold could hit $3k by 2025.

By the end of 2025

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

๐ŸŽค What you said last time

Our faith in GPUโ€™s is strong, but so is Nvidiaโ€™s current valuation.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends you need to know

Search results are from our friends at Glimpse, my favorite way to spot trends.

The Nintendo Switch is dying a slow death, and itโ€™s going to get worse (see below).

๐Ÿ“Š Stocks

Want to invest like Buffet? With Public.com, you can emulate Berkshire Hathawayโ€™s portfolio with just a few clicks.

Winners and losers

Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions

  • No significant earnings were announced last Friday, and yesterday was a market holiday, but this week is filled with important earnings.

  • Nvidia could bring significant volatility with its earnings report after the close on Wednesday.

  • Home Depot issued a double beat but lowered guidance. Shares down slightly.

  • Walmart also beat both top and bottom lines and announced its going to acquire Vizio. Shares up 3%.

Market movers

  • Microsoft poured $2.1 billion into AI infrastructure in Spain.

  • Nintendo is now unlikely to release a new version of its Switch console in 2024. Prediction market Kalshi hasnโ€™t caught up to the news, though, if you want some free money. [DISCLOSURE: Iโ€™VE TAKEN A POSITION]

  • The EU opened a formal investigation into TikTok over child safety.

  • The U.S. boosted GlobalFoundries with $3.1 billion for domestic chip production.

  • The Biden Administration is in talks to award a $10 billion contract to chipmaker Intel.

  • American Airlines has implemented a number of cost-saving but customer-infuriating policies.

  • Google cut thousands of staff across its hardware divisions.

  • Nike slashed 1,500 jobs.

Ideas, trends, and analysis

๐ŸŒ Global Perspectives

  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukraine withdrew from Avdiivka, after a decade of fighting.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China slashed rates 25bps to try to boost the markets. It didnโ€™t work.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Russia sold $37 billion in oil to India last year.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ The Nigerian naira hit an all-time low.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ War in Gaza led to a 19.4% drop in Israel's Q4 economy.

  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The US proposed a UN resolution for a temporary Gaza ceasefire.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ China offered Hungary support in "security matters".

๐Ÿ“Š Income

๐Ÿ“Š Crypto

๐Ÿง  Errata

  • Rust is ruining the vibe for Cybertruck owners.

  • A high school in Massachusetts is so unruly that officials are calling in the National Guard for backup.

๐Ÿ“บ What to Watch Today

Thatโ€™s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,

Wyatt